Saudi Arabia cannot win the Yemeni war. The efforts of the Saudi-led coalition do not bring real success. The war reveals the military and strategic impotence of Saudi command and leadership.
The kingdom cannot defeat the main enemy –the Houthi led government. The Houthis control the Yemeni capital Sana, and the most of former Northern Yemen.
The Saudi proxy, Al-Qaeda of the Arabian Peninsula, acts more independently. It is capturing more and more cities previously controlled by the Hadi-government supported by Riyadh. Yesterday they seized Zinjibar and Dzhaar.
At the same time, Southern separatists from former PDRY actually cut off the entire Hadhramaut region.
Houthi-rebels with the support of local tribes, torn from Saudi Arabia, now control almost the entire province of Najran, and have invaded Jizan, capturing a new Saudi base. The capital of the province is surrounded by the forces of the Houthi-government and the army of former president Saleh.
The offensive was developed strictly in accordance with the precepts of Houthi (Zaidi) Imams who have always believed that Ismaili Najran and Jizan are parts of greater Yemen.
The Saudi army use cluster bombs against his own population in a desperate attempt to stop the Yemen offensive.
Saudi Arabia and their allies are trying to salvage the situation using the forces of mercenaries from all over the world, including Latin America (specifically Columbia), the US, and Russia.
Actually this strategy shows a defeat of Saudi-led forces and can be easily connected to the situation of low oil prices, when revenues from oil are insufficient.
Saudi Arabia is forecasted to lose this war. The impasse of Yemeni war can be the beginning of the collapse of the kingdom. This can lead to drastic changes in the region.
