Gulen-influenced coup

Erdogan and his Islamists might not go quietly, and the US' estimation in engineering this Gullen-influenced coup was precisely to provoke civil war.

The US felt compelled to respond to to the Russian-Turkish detente that was primed not only to revive Balkan Stream, but also to close off the Syrian border from terrorists and create a regional coalition against pro-American militant Kurdish separatists.

The fallback plan is Hybrid War, or throwing Turkey into such chaos that none of the US' competitors (Russia, China, and Iran) can strategically make use of its territory for multipolar purposes.