Principles and Strategy of the coming war. Part II
Now let’s put ourselves in the shoes of American strategists. The escalation in US-NATO relations with Russia is obvious. Moscow behaved as a sovereign regional power in the cases of South Ossetia and Abkhazia in 2008, Crimea and Novorossiya in 2014 and finally Syria in 2015, and if it is necessary, it will use the power to insist on its national interests in certain areas. It is incompatible with the continuation of American hegemony that is still global. Moscow would have to build its policy in accordance with Washington and NATO, and of course, these actions will not appease the forces of sanctions. Therefore, despite the superficial courtesy and the liberal rhetoric, Russia is out of the West’s control. It is a fact. And Washington must somehow respond to it. If he admits it, it would be equal to the denial of hegemony. But in the event of decline, the American Empire will not necessarily stop at the borders that it still firmly controls today. Encouraged by the success of the Russians, one may want to look at the strength of the Americans. Therefore, in Washington strategists’ position, it would be logical to activate all six Fronts. Especially because, in all six cases, America will not outperform itself: even the worst outcome would not cause its fatal collapse, as it is protected by a vast European, North African zone, followed by the Atlantic and the Pacific Ocean in the west (especially since there is not any Russian activities in its east side). Moreover, it will be quite reasonable to synchronize the blows to Russia from all sides: militants in Syria, supporting Turkey, making Kiev start a new wave of fighting (and even to attack Crimea), leading the Russian domestic radical Salafi terrorist structures, backing the Fifth Column (finding the appropriate social occasion) and putting another ultimatum sanctions to encourage the Sixth Columns to conduct sabotage more actively and efficiently.
At the same time, it would be equally logical on the one hand to maintain and perhaps to even strengthen the sanctions, to reduce to the oil prices by a few points, and, at the same time, to start attacking the Russian leadership with conciliatory trolling like "the West will help you", "the terrorists is a common problem" (common because some are fighting with it, and the others support it) and "the main problem is China" (let the Russians deny their nuclear weapons, and we will protect them, putting our nuclear missiles on their territories) etc.
However, the simple analytical estimation hides something very serious. War. A real one with bloody seas, fires, torture, suffering and pain. The war in which we will be involved. And, since the three fronts are outside Russia, it is likely that the war on the foreign territories will be accompanied with civil war. That, however, we know very well from history.
Winning strategy: internal enemy
Let us imagine that we, quite objectively, estimated the risks, and our analysis is correct. What should Russia do in such a situation? In levying the war or at least being close to it, we must not only react situationally, but also have a plan for how to wage the war and to win it. It is quite logical to have the desire to win, isn’t it? Now it is important to find way how to achieve it, even if it’s just in theory.
It is obvious that you can only wage war effectively with an external enemy if the society is quite consolidated and mobilized internally. It is desirable to be mentally prepared for the war. To do this, people must understand who is the enemy and who is not, and, most importantly, why this is the case and not so otherwise. You mustn’t demonize the enemy at the very beginning of the war. The image of the enemy must be formed in advance and deliberately.
Therefore, the first task to gain victory would be real fully-fledged company to create the entirely negative, monstrous, satanic image of the United States and the West in general. Therefore, the West is a place where the devil resides. It is the center of the global capitalist tentacles. It is the matrix of rotting cultural perversion and a vice grip of falsehood and cynicism, violence and hypocrisy. Russia already does this, but since the Sixth Column is responsible for anti-Western propaganda, it is a caricature or something miserable and not very convincing. It is this sabotage that describes the essence of the Sixth Front. Its “soldiers” do not refuse to fulfill the government orders, even asking for more and more, but their execution has turned into a farce, stultifying and subtly discrediting all undertakings. Awkward and insincere propaganda often brings the opposite effect. Therefore, by creating the images of the American enemy and its satellites (which we actually have to fight), it would be logical to charge those who think exactly that way and punish them with maximum clarity and cogency to the sleeping masses. Meanwhile, the agents of influence of the West are entrusted to criticize the West. With predictable results. Such an approach is incompatible with the "strategy for victory" and it should be reconsidered (if Russia wants to have at least a chance to win in the coming war).
From the first point we move logically to the next one. It is important to dismantle the Sixth Column structures as soon as possible, removing the liberals and the pro-Westerners from all the key positions. Together with it, liberalism in the economy will be abolished, which will allow:
· The establishment of national control over the Central Bank.
· The pivot away from the dollar in foreign trade to any different reserve currency (such as the Yuan).
· The achievement of full financial sovereignty.
· The conductibility of the economy’s mobilization in the wartime.
In parallel, it is necessary to form the National Committee for the Mass Media that will reconstruct information work in accordance with the emergency requirements.
The efficiency of the purely destructive Fifth Column’s activity is largely tied with the efficiency of the Sixth Column’s sabotage. The Fifth and Sixth Fronts are inextricably connected. Therefore, the destruction of the Sixth Column’s power will dramatically weaken the Fifth Column which leaders, in emergency situations, could be either interned (by the way, the measures of house arrest are already administered to some of them), or expelled. Of course, any legal means of the liberal dissemination or the destructive nationalist propaganda should be banned.
The Forth Front is a problem, as the State does not have any ethnic and national policies. At the moment, there is only the same Sixth Column or the cognitively inappropriate bureaucrats. That is why the real challenges of uncontrolled migration and ethnic and religious tensions are approved by the bureaucracy with meaningless, for the Russian reality, empty slogans of the "civil society" and "tolerance". Without a coherent system of ethnic and national strategy against Islamic extremism and terrorism, issues in Russia will not be solved. Some security measures are not enough; it needs to eliminate or permanently change the social environment. Forced operations against terrorist fundamentalism must be correlated with the scale, including the ideological, model of ethnic and national policy.
The winning strategy: external enemy
Ukraine – the Third Front – should be ready for armed provocations from Kiev and to repel them. Sooner or later, Russia will have to radically solve the Novorossiyan issue as relying on the fact that Kiev will fall by himself or will abandon its pro-American and anti-Russian policy is somewhat irresponsible. To effectively protect Crimea and resolve the Donbass issue, all the Novorossiya space must be freed, and, if the war is inevitable, Moscow will have only one task - to win as soon as possible and as efficiently as possible. Creating a friendly Russian zone from Odessa to Kharkov, either creating independent States or including them in the part of the Russian Lands, is the goal that could be considered as a victory. The fate of Central and Western Ukraine has no great value.
Regarding the Turkish Second Front, there, in addition to the military operational development which is the military leadership’s task and cannot be discussed by analysts, Russia should pay attention to two main factors: the political opposition to the regime of Erdogan that, in the current circumstances, has become a natural ally, and the fundamental problem for Turkey, the Kurds. Both factors are crucial to the success in the Russian-Turkish conflict. It is extremely important to conduct anti-Turkish propaganda in Russian society, constantly stressing that the US and its supporters (Erdogan) are responsible for the escalation of the region’s conflict, and that Moscow doesn’t consider the Turks as its historical enemy to Moscow. Therefore, any parallels with the Russian-Turkish war, even in internal cases, will only unite the Turkish with Erdogan and strengthen the enemy. In contrast, the support of the Turkish politicians who do not share Erdogan’s views of Neo-Ottomanism could be decisive. At the same time, of course, Russia should intensify cooperation with the Kurds, as it is an imposing force in Turkey.
Finally, the First Front, Syria. We did not accidentally put it in the end of the "winning strategy". The most acute confrontational form is always the most practical and full of technical and military detail. However, it always depends on the particulars of society, and local successes – on the outside, often global, environment.
We have seen that Russia has an important regional ally, the Shi’ite world, which is represented primarily by Iran and the Lebanese Hezbollah. These are Russian “brothers in arms”, and it should do its best to deepen the alliance. Obviously, it’s not only the Russians that understand its value, but even the pro-American forces in Russia and in Iran, so they will try to do everything possible to bring division amongst the allies. It should be nipped in the bud, at least in Russia, and concisely spelled out at the negotiations with the Shi’ites.
Next, Russians need the political, preferably military and economic support, of the countries of the planned multi-polar club, BRICS. China plays a special role there, preferring not to come to the forefront of the US opposition, but being ready to support Moscow, staying on the sidelines. Many things in Syria now depends on Moscow-Beijing relations, and it needs maximum attention.
Russia has no chance of making European countries its fully-fledged allies in Syria, as the US influence on them is too great. However, any distancing from Washington by the European powers (especially France, Germany and Italy) alongside differences in NATO will be very useful to Moscow. If Europe is to continue to grow its wave of right-conservative parties and movements, who are generally loyal to Russia, it will significantly strengthen its position in Syria. The Russian propaganda in Europe during wartime has particular importance.
As in Syria, Russia faces forces openly supported by Saudi Arabia and Qatar. As Qatar is involved in the plane crash with Russian tourists over the Sinai, Russia should pay special attention to the maximum destabilization of the regimes. Under certain circumstances, a direct attack on Qatar and military support for the Houthis in Yemen, as well as the Shiites in Bahrain, cannot be excluded. The invitation of the Russian troops in Iraq and Lebanon by their governments is strategically crucial; it will help to wage a full-scale war against the main bases of the ISIS terrorists and break their infrastructure connection with Turkey and the Gulf countries.
In general, Russia is already at war in the Middle East, so it should be recognized as an accomplished fact that, using the whole arsenal of available means, first of all, intelligence networks aimed at promoting, using different ways, Russian interests in the region such as information, economic, ideological, etc, must urgently be revived.
The last argument in this war will involve Russian nuclear weapons, which, thank God, the 90’s liberal reformers did not manage to destroy. It is common sense not to use them ever. However, it does mean that they cannot impose severe restrictions on Russia’s main enemy, the United States of America. Fearing complete destruction, the United States will have to play against Russia abiding by certain rules.
Seventh Front. Americans against Federal Government
In addition, in terms of the United States, it is important to open the Seventh Front. In fact, the US have many people who are unsatisfied with the ruling elite that profess the globalist ideology, drawing the USA into bloody wars, destroying the traditional European Christian identity. New America, where nothing is left from the US itself, and which serves the interests of the global financial oligarchy that has no culture or identity, destroys old America. Therefore, the support of US traditionalism and the conservatism of American identity is an important task for Russia. Its ally in the USA is the American people. In addition, many contradictions have accumulated in the social sphere, in inter-ethnic relations. The majority of American society does not accept the moral degeneration. The federal government uses each convenient occasion to begin the abolishment of the second amendment of the Constitution allowing the Americans to keep and bear arms. The growing proportions of the Latin population, mostly Catholic, bring to the American public a new identity that is not hostile to Russia. Russia should be actively involved in the struggle for influence on the American society, strengthening the explanation of the Russian spiritual position in the war, showing that Russians and Americans have a common enemy: a manic satanic elite that have usurped power and are leading the whole humanity, including the Americans, towards the inevitable catastrophe. The elite’s results are evident: the whole Middle East is already covered in blood, they are not able any more to establish any order, the globalist elite (the CFR, the neocons, the representatives of the international financial oligarchy of Wall Street) implants everywhere only chaos, devastation, death and pain. The destruction of such a cancer on humanity is a matter for the entire world, including the Americans, who are not only its instruments but also victims.
Where is the city?
It is far from easy to win in this game. As the name of this game is the Big War. Nevertheless, when the Great War comes, it can only be avoided by slavery and deliberate recognition as a loser. Russian history has had no such moments. As much as it may seem difficult, somehow Russians coped with it.
We are not talking just about the geopolitical confrontation, but about the redistribution of influential spheres or the fulfillment of national interests. It is about something much deeper and more important.
All religions have a section dealing with the end of time and the final battle. The Christians, as well as the Jews and the Muslims, associate the events of the cycle with the Big War. Moreover, invariably all three religions describe the Middle East as the place of the Great War, as the field of Armageddon and the neighboring territories. For the Muslims, Damascus, the Umayyad Mosque, is considered to be the place where the Second Coming of Christ is to be held. Therefore, the war in Syria has frankly an eschatological sense. After all, Syria is a part of the Holy Land where the Savior treaded the ground. For the Jews, waiting for the imminent arrival of Moshiach, the escalation of violence on its borders, in areas critical to Israel’s existence, has an eschatological significance. The American Protestants, dispensationalists, see the Last Battle as the invasion of the north Gogh (understand as Russia) army to the Holy Land. Finally, the Athos monks and Greek saints, such as Cosmas Aeolian[1] or Saint Paisios of Mount Athos, repeatedly predicted the release of Russian troops and the collapse of Constantinople and Turkey. So, St. Arsenios of Cappadocia in Faras told the faithful that they will lose their homeland, but soon will find it again: "Foreign troops will come, Christ they will believe in, language they will not know... They will ask: Where is the City?"[2] It is understood as the reference to the Russian army approaching Constantinople. In one of the conversations Saint Paisios said:
" – Know that Turkey will collapse. There will be war two and a half years. We shall be victorious because we — Orthodox.
– Gerontius, we tolerate damage in the war?
– Hey, at most, one or two of the island will take, but we will give, and Constantinople. You’ll see, you’ll see!” [3]
Recently, one or two years ago, all these predictions would have caused only a shrug of the shoulders, what a fairy tale! But... today: blood is being shed in the Middle East; there are military operations around Damascus; Russians are not merely present, but fight in the Holy Land; the conflict with Turkey has started and it can’t be excluded that it will lead to the real war. From an eschatological perspective, it is time to return to the holy places, the Holy Land, Constantinople and Kiev. The statement that we are not living in the End Times now seems unscientific. As Elder Paisius said: “You’ll see, you’ll see!” So, we will see.
Thus, where is the city?
[1] Zoitakis A. Life and prophecies of Cosmas Aeolian, 2007
[2] Χριστόδουλος Αγιορείτης, ιερομοναχος. Σκέυος Εκλογής. Άγιον Όρος, 1996.
[3] Zoitakis A. Father Paisius told me…, 2003