Dilma Rousseff's problems

The formal procedure

For the removal of a president from office, the lower house of parliament should approve the measure by a two-thirds vote. Analysts believe that this is possible. However, it is assumed that this may jeopardize foreign investment, as the political crisis can lead to distrust on the part of businesses and the financial sector.

Backyard of the US

For Washington, Latin America historically was its "backyard." The change of the political spectrum, especially the coming to power of leftist politicians in Venezuela, Ecuador, Bolivia, Argentina, Brazil, Honduras, Nicaragua and Paraguay, have caused a serious reaction from the White House for some years now. There were attempts of a coup against Hugo Chavez and Rafael Correa. In Paraguay and Honduras, this involved factions of right-wing parties in parliament, resulting in the removal of the presidents from power. In the last Argentine election, the US saw its most desirable candidate, Mauricio Macri, win the election.

Geopolitical déjà vu

Changes in the 'script', of the geopolitical orientation in Latin America, resembles the scenario that was previously conducted in Europe: in Germany, Gerhard Schroeder, and Jacques Chirac in France, after criticism of the US invasion of Iraq in 2003, were unable to ultimately cohere a Euro-continentalist strategy. Those who came to replace them, Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy have taken a more pro-Atlantic positions, becoming agents of US interests in the EU.

Forecast

If Rouseff will be removed and the Workers' Party will split, it will mean another victory of the Atlanticist forces in the region. Together with Argentina, Brazil is the largest country in Latin America, and the region's economic engine. Such a transformation can lead to a chain reaction, affecting other countries too.