Perspectives on the confrontation between the Russian Federation and Turkey

What are the perspectives on the Russian-Turkish relationship now?

• The question of war against Russia will divide the NATO-block. Europe, recently hit by terrorist attacks and now involved in an anti-terrorist war, does not want to have a new enemy, especially as powerful as Russia. The US does not mind if there is an open confrontation of NATO and Russia. It can divide a block of NATO into two parts.
• Russia can declare a No-Fly zone over Syria and legitimately shoot down all flying objects violating Syrian airspace. It will mean the beginning of open confrontation between land and sea powers. This seems to be the most radical scenario.
• Russia can continue and reinforce the bombardment of Turkmen militia, who are in the opposition to Bashar Al-Assad and among whom is a large number of ISIS supporters. The bombardment of the “buffer zone” was already carried out by Russia.
• A possible scenario is the total destruction, by Russia, of the infrastructure of contraband oil. Erdogan personally, as well as members of Turkish government, are fully involved in this contraband import affair.
• Also among the scenarios there is one that seems to be absolutely realistic: the total destruction of the Turkish-Russian economic partnership in different domains: finance, tourism etc. Turkey was preparing for a free trade zone project with Russia. This project will certainly now not be realized in the near future. Turkey was a realistic potential candidate for entering the Eurasian Economic Union. Now it has become obvious that this project will not be realized. With the ban instituted by the Russian government on tourist firms selling travel packages to Turkey – the Turkish economy can be greatly damaged. For Russians, Turkey is one of the popular tourist destinations. With the beginning of these cold relations – the Turkish tourist industry will collapse. Turkish building companies, located in Russia, will rapidly lose their profits and will be strictly controlled.
• The planned Turkish Stream will not be realized because of the present relations with Turkey. It will be re-orientated back to the South Stream.